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XRP has entered a crucial stage as corporate adoption rises and regulatory transparency alters its market outlook.
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The resolution of Ripple’s dispute with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in March 2025 removed a significant barrier, confirming that XRP is not a security in secondary transactions. This achievement has encouraged prominent institutions to engage.
XRP ETF Introduction and Institutional Catalysts Propel Rally
The launch of the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR) represented a remarkable regulatory transformation, achieving $37.7 million in trading volume on its first day.
BlackRock’s collaboration with Ripple regarding its RLUSD stablecoin and Ripple’s request for access to Federal Reserve payment systems through a national trust bank charter highlight the project’s expanding institutional involvement.
Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity network, which handled $1.3 trillion in Q2 2025, further enhances XRP’s significance in international settlements.
September’s surge witnessed XRP climb by 385%, stabilizing between $2.86 and $2.87 as large holders amassed tens of millions of tokens.
With six additional ETF applications awaiting approval in October and CME set to introduce XRP options on October 13, the token’s bullish indicators remain robust.
Analysts anticipate medium- to long-term price targets ranging from $5 to $22, with some predicting $30 or more by 2026.
XRP's price trends sideways on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview
Technical Perspective: Essential Levels to Monitor
XRP remains above its $2.80 support threshold, even amidst ongoing volatility. Resistance is developing around $3.00, with a breakout likely to clear the path toward $3.40, $4.00, and eventually $5. Surpassing the $5 level may enhance momentum toward $7.
On the downside, immediate support lies at $2.60, with further thresholds at $2.25 and $2.00. Technical indicators are still favorable, with the CCI (50) and Directional Movement Index showing bullish trends. Traders are contemplating dip buying around $2.60, with stop losses set near $2.00 and profit targets between $4 and $5.
Whale Impact and ETF Examination
Despite the rising institutional trust, concerns regarding concentrated XRP ownership remain. The recent Cyber Hornet ETF application with the SEC raised alarm over whale influence as a possible issue, arguing that significant holders possess the ability to disproportionately affect price changes.
In contrast to Bitcoin or Ethereum, XRP’s pre-minted supply arrangement amplifies liquidity concerns, rendering it more susceptible to large transactions. Regulators globally have taken heed, with high-value transfers now under heightened scrutiny.
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Nevertheless, the increasing array of institutional offerings and steady retail engagement imply that XRP is likely to sustain its momentum, even as discussions surrounding whale activity continue.
Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from TradingView
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