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After surpassing $3,800, the Ethereum value appears to be solidly heading towards the subsequent stage of the cycle. The current momentum has been closely echoing what was observed back in 2016-2017 prior to the surge that propelled the altcoin’s value to unprecedented peaks. This remains a significant matter given that if the trend unfolds similarly to what transpired in the 2017 cycle, it implies that the Ethereum price increase is merely commencing.
Ethereum Price Reflects Optimistic 2017
In 2017, preceding the bull market, the Ethereum value struggled to keep pace with the Bitcoin price. This led to a delay as the price consistently faced setbacks with every uptick. Ultimately, the Ethereum price ended up fluctuating for a time, with two false breakouts before the price was finally able to successfully break out.
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In a similar vein, the Ethereum value has fluctuated for the past year, with numerous false breakouts that have typically kept the price down. Much like in 2017, once again, a decline reduced the altcoin’s price by nearly 50% to create what seemed to be an ideal bear trap, as demonstrated in this illustration by crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader on X (formerly Twitter).
The analyst highlights these parallels in the Ethereum chart, indicating that the same range, false breakout, and breakout have now occurred for the cryptocurrency just as they did in 2016-2017. Given this, it is probable that the subsequent phase in the trend will also align with the 2017 model.
Following the bear trap and eventual breakout in 2017, the Ethereum value soared by 5,000%, rising from under $8 to over $250 in less than a year. If a similar breakout framework applies to Ethereum in 2025, it could result in a peak of as much as $40,000.
However, considering the current height of the market cap, a more conservative target would indicate that the Ethereum value should at least surpass the $10,000 threshold, which would only be a 200% increase from its present standing. Projecting the same timeframe as in 2017 would suggest that this could unfold in the next six months.
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Moreover, Ethereum now possesses something it lacked in 2017, which is institutional support. Currently, Ethereum is swiftly gaining traction among institutional investors as ETH treasury firms have invested over $7 billion into the altcoin, according to data from The Block. In just July 2025 alone, more than $2 billion has entered Spot Ethereum ETFs, indicating a significant rise in institutional interest.
Thanks to this influx of institutional investments, Merlijn The Trader has clarified that institutions are now the driving force behind the same setup from 2017. This indicates greater liquidity as these major players are anticipated to influence and define the ETH price in this cycle.
Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView.com
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