The Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market is about to undergo a week filled with significant events.
#1 Bitcoin (BTC)
All attention is directed towards Washington, D.C. as Bitcoin’s short-term path could depend on an occurrence scheduled for March 11. Senator Cynthia Lummis, an outspoken advocate for pro-Bitcoin and crypto legislation, plans to co-host the “Bitcoin for America” summit in collaboration with the Bitcoin Policy Institute. This event features notable speakers, including Vivek Ramaswamy, Michael Saylor, and Paolo Arduino, along with a fireside discussion with Jack Mallers.
This assembly follows several high-profile occurrences: President Donald Trump’s declaration regarding the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, the inaugural White House Crypto Summit on March 7, and the presentation of Lummis’ BITCOIN Act last year. Speculation suggests that the senator may introduce new co-sponsors for her proposed bill, which recommends that the US Treasury acquire 1 million BTC over a span of five years.
#2 Solana (SOL)
Solana nears a crucial milestone on March 11, when the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) encounters its first deadline to address multiple spot SOL exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications. Leading asset managers—VanEck, Grayscale, and 21Shares—have submitted proposals amid hopes for a more favorable regulatory position.
However, skepticism remains about approval at this preliminary stage, especially since new SEC Chair Paul Atkins has yet to take office. Some analysts speculate that the agency’s temporary leadership might choose to delay any verdict.
Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have assessed the wider altcoin ETF landscape, assigning a 70% likelihood for a Solana ETF to gain approval by 2025—behind Litecoin (90%) and Dogecoin (75%), but ahead of XRP (65%). While next week’s deadline is capturing interest, many market players believe that the ultimate decision will depend on more extensive regulatory trends later this year or next.
#3 Movement (MOVE)
March 10 signifies the official debut of Movement, a network of Layer 2 solutions utilizing the Move programming language—initially created for Meta’s Diem project. Movement’s framework is designed to enhance blockchain scalability and security, appealing to DeFi protocols seeking efficient, resource-conscious ecosystems.
The Move language provides protections against reentrancy assaults and prioritizes asset security, setting it apart from typical EVM-based solutions. With developers’ enthusiasm at a peak, Movement endeavors to position itself as a potential competitor to well-established networks like Arbitrum and Optimism, aiming to attract both capital and innovative projects in the upcoming weeks.
#4 AAVE (AAVE)
Within the AAVE DAO, a proposal to establish sGHO—a savings product linked to the GHO stablecoin—has gained prominence. This endeavor involves initiating an Aave Savings Rate (ASR), utilizing native Aave lending rates and a portion of GHO borrowing revenue to motivate participants.
Stani Kulechov, Founder and CEO of Aave, detailed the initiative on X last week: “Aave is proposing to develop an sGHO savings product by introducing the Aave Savings Rate (ASR). sGHO is a new low-risk profile savings product that allows earnings on GHO based on the native Aave lending rate and an incentivized rate acquired partially from GHO borrowing revenue. There are no withdrawal or deposit fees. I anticipate sGHO to increase GHO between 300-500M outstanding GHO.”
He further explained: “To provide a comparison from a revenue standpoint, each 100M GHO generates the same revenue for the Aave DAO as 1B USDC. sGHO will introduce a stable on-chain savings rate for Aave users, representing a solid entry product for new users on-chain.” If approved, sGHO could considerably broaden GHO’s circulation while offering a new on-chain savings solution for the wider DeFi community.
#5 SUI (SUI)
SUI, the native token of the Sui blockchain—a Layer 1 established by a team of former Diem engineers—has become the center of attention amid discussions that Canary Capital may soon submit an application for a spot SUI ETF. Speculation grew when one of Sui’s co-founders shared a cryptic “YES, ETF(s) SOON” tweet on X on March 5.
While specifics remain limited, Delaware filings from March 7 indicate that Canary Capital has registered for a SUI ETF, igniting speculation that a formal spot ETF application might surface shortly. Investors are keeping an eye on any progress that could influence SUI’s price direction.
Extra: Crypto Market Awaits Significant CPI Data
Aside from individual token stories, the broader direction of the market may rely on the imminent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February 2025, expected to be released on Wednesday, March 12, at 8:30 am ET. The previous report (January 2025) indicated a year-over-year headline inflation rate of 3.0%, with core CPI at 3.3% year-over-year. Analysts foresee slight declines this month, predicting a 0.3% month-over-month increase in both headline and core inflation.
Predictions for February 2025
- Core CPI (m/m): 0.3% (previous: 0.4%)
- CPI (m/m): 0.3% (previous: 0.5%)
- CPI (y/y): 2.9% (previous: 3.0%)
A lower-than-expected figure, particularly below 2.9%, could boost optimism for mid-2025 Fed rate reductions, potentially uplifting stocks and crypto assets. Conversely, an unexpected increase could pressurize risk-on markets by stoking concerns over persistent inflation and undermining hopes for earlier rate alleviation. With the Federal Reserve widely expected to maintain unchanged rates during its March meeting, the CPI release will function as a crucial indicator of inflation’s trend—and, consequently, of how monetary policy might shift in the upcoming months.
At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $82,228.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
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