{"id":8648,"date":"2025-02-17T12:19:46","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T11:19:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=8648"},"modified":"2025-02-17T12:19:46","modified_gmt":"2025-02-17T11:19:46","slug":"expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\tEste art\u00edculo tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 disponible en espa\u00f1ol.
\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n

Los poseedores de Dogecoin (DOGE) han sido avisados por el analista de criptomonedas Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), quien public\u00f3 un gr\u00e1fico el lunes que destaca una configuraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica significativa. Seg\u00fan Martinez, la relaci\u00f3n entre el Valor de Mercado y el Valor Realizado (MVRV) para DOGE acaba de formar una \u201ccross de muerte\u201d con su propia media m\u00f3vil (MA) de 200 d\u00edas, un evento que anteriormente se correlacion\u00f3 con importantes ca\u00eddas de precios.<\/p>\n

Advertencia sobre la Cross de Muerte del MVRV de Dogecoin<\/h2>\n

El gr\u00e1fico de Martinez, obtenido de Santiment, traza tres puntos de datos clave: Precio DOGE\/USD (l\u00ednea negra), Relaci\u00f3n MVRV de DOGE (l\u00ednea naranja) y MA de 200 d\u00edas de la Relaci\u00f3n MVRV de DOGE (l\u00ednea roja). \u00c9l coment\u00f3<\/a>: \u201cDOGE acaba de experimentar una cross de muerte entre la Relaci\u00f3n MVRV y su MA de 200 d\u00edas. Las dos veces anteriores que esto ocurri\u00f3, los precios cayeron un 26% y un 44%.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cross de muerte del MVRV de Dogecoin | Fuente: X @ali_charts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

La nueva \u201ccross de muerte\u201d se produce cuando la l\u00ednea de la relaci\u00f3n MVRV<\/a> (l\u00ednea naranja) cae por debajo de la l\u00ednea MA de 200 d\u00edas (l\u00ednea roja). Hist\u00f3ricamente, se\u00f1ala el analista, el precio de DOGE experiment\u00f3 dos correcciones significativas tras este mismo cruce: una ca\u00edda del 26% entre principios de septiembre y finales de octubre de 2023 y un descenso del 44% desde mediados de junio hasta finales de septiembre de 2024.<\/p>\n

Lectura Relacionada<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

Ambos descensos aparecen en \u00e1reas sombreadas en el gr\u00e1fico, marcadas a su debido tiempo. Despu\u00e9s de cada una de estas ca\u00eddas, el precio de Dogecoin eventualmente se recuper\u00f3, pero solo tras alcanzar niveles de precios notablemente m\u00e1s bajos. Al observar m\u00e1s de cerca el gr\u00e1fico, se muestra que el precio de Dogecoin se sit\u00faa alrededor de $0.268. La relaci\u00f3n MVRV (l\u00ednea naranja) ha ascendido cerca del 91%, mientras que la MA de la relaci\u00f3n MVRV de 200 d\u00edas (l\u00ednea roja) ronda alrededor del 78.36%.<\/p>\n

La relaci\u00f3n MVRV compara el valor de mercado actual de Dogecoin con su valor realizado (el costo agregado de los DOGE que se movieron en la cadena). Un MVRV de 91% indica que, en promedio, los participantes del mercado podr\u00edan estar considerablemente arriba en comparaci\u00f3n con su precio de compra\u2014si la relaci\u00f3n se mantiene por encima de 1. Aunque la interpretaci\u00f3n precisa depende de c\u00f3mo un analista aplique la escala MVRV, una relaci\u00f3n MVRV m\u00e1s alta generalmente implica mayores ganancias no realizadas entre los poseedores.<\/p>\n

Lectura Relacionada<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n

La MA de 200 d\u00edas del MVRV es el promedio m\u00f3vil simple de la relaci\u00f3n MVRV durante los \u00faltimos 200 d\u00edas. Proporciona una l\u00ednea base a m\u00e1s largo plazo para evaluar cu\u00e1nto se encuentra actualmente la relaci\u00f3n MVRV de Dogecoin por encima o por debajo de su tendencia hist\u00f3rica<\/a>. Una \u201ccross de muerte\u201d en este contexto se presenta cuando la relaci\u00f3n MVRV a corto plazo (l\u00ednea naranja) se coloca por debajo de la MA de la relaci\u00f3n MVRV de 200 d\u00edas (l\u00ednea roja), se\u00f1alando a menudo un posible cambio en el sentimiento o presi\u00f3n de venta inminente.<\/p>\n

Cabe destacar que el precio de Dogecoin muestra cierta debilidad en las \u00faltimas semanas<\/a>. Desde el m\u00e1ximo del 8 de diciembre de $0.4834, DOGE ha estado formando constantemente m\u00e1ximos m\u00e1s bajos y m\u00ednimos m\u00e1s bajos, una configuraci\u00f3n gr\u00e1fica altamente bajista. Martinez comparti\u00f3 el gr\u00e1fico a continuaci\u00f3n y declar\u00f3<\/a>: \u201cDOGE permanece en una tendencia bajista, formando m\u00ednimos m\u00e1s bajos y m\u00e1ximos m\u00e1s bajos. \u00a1Se necesita un breakout por encima de la resistencia clave para cambiar el momentum!\u201d<\/p>\n

\"An\u00e1lisis
An\u00e1lisis de precios de Dogecoin, gr\u00e1fico de 4 horas | Fuente: X @ali_charts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Para que esto ocurra, DOGE necesitar\u00eda superar los $0.44. Sin embargo, los toros<\/a> de DOGE pueden esperar una resistencia significativa en $0.31 (nivel de retroceso de Fibonacci 0.382), $0.342 (0.5 Fib) y $0.375 (0.618 Fib). En el momento de la publicaci\u00f3n, DOGE se negociaba a $0.26.<\/p>\n

\"Precio
Precio de Dogecoin, gr\u00e1fico de 4 horas | Fuente: DOGEUSDT en TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Imagen de cubierta creada con DALL.E, gr\u00e1fico de TradingView.com<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


\n
Enlace de fuente <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Este art\u00edculo tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 disponible en espa\u00f1ol. Los poseedores de Dogecoin (DOGE) han sido avisados por el analista de criptomonedas Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), quien public\u00f3 un gr\u00e1fico el lunes que destaca una configuraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica significativa. Seg\u00fan Martinez, la relaci\u00f3n entre el Valor de Mercado y el Valor Realizado (MVRV) para DOGE acaba de formar una<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8649,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[1325],"class_list":["post-8648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-analyst-warns-of-a-40-drop-gpt"],"yoast_head":"\nExpert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Este art\u00edculo tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 disponible en espa\u00f1ol. Los poseedores de Dogecoin (DOGE) han sido avisados por el analista de criptomonedas Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), quien public\u00f3 un gr\u00e1fico el lunes que destaca una configuraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica significativa. Seg\u00fan Martinez, la relaci\u00f3n entre el Valor de Mercado y el Valor Realizado (MVRV) para DOGE acaba de formar una\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-02-17T11:19:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1160\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"wsjcrypto\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Scritto da\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"wsjcrypto\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo di lettura stimato\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minuti\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/\",\"name\":\"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-02-17T11:19:46+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/88a93723b30416db1a352d5a0096c4a7\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"it-IT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"it-IT\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg\",\"width\":2560,\"height\":1160,\"caption\":\"Dogecoin MVRV death cross\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/\",\"name\":\"WSJ-Crypto\",\"description\":\"Just Another Crypto News Website\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"it-IT\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/88a93723b30416db1a352d5a0096c4a7\",\"name\":\"wsjcrypto\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"it-IT\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86fe8af82ea089646d6639ca2f87e0243d8688d957bd8e3ec22ec3c457cc16d4?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86fe8af82ea089646d6639ca2f87e0243d8688d957bd8e3ec22ec3c457cc16d4?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"wsjcrypto\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/author\/wsjcrypto\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/","og_locale":"it_IT","og_type":"article","og_title":"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto","og_description":"Este art\u00edculo tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 disponible en espa\u00f1ol. Los poseedores de Dogecoin (DOGE) han sido avisados por el analista de criptomonedas Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), quien public\u00f3 un gr\u00e1fico el lunes que destaca una configuraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica significativa. Seg\u00fan Martinez, la relaci\u00f3n entre el Valor de Mercado y el Valor Realizado (MVRV) para DOGE acaba de formar una","og_url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/","og_site_name":"WSJ-Crypto","article_published_time":"2025-02-17T11:19:46+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1160,"url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"wsjcrypto","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Scritto da":"wsjcrypto","Tempo di lettura stimato":"4 minuti"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/","url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/","name":"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline - WSJ-Crypto","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg","datePublished":"2025-02-17T11:19:46+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/88a93723b30416db1a352d5a0096c4a7"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"it-IT","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"it-IT","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Gj62AIQWoAE5DhF-scaled.jpg","width":2560,"height":1160,"caption":"Dogecoin MVRV death cross"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/17\/expert-predicts-potential-40-market-decline\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Expert Predicts Potential 40% Market Decline"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/","name":"WSJ-Crypto","description":"Just Another Crypto News Website","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"it-IT"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/88a93723b30416db1a352d5a0096c4a7","name":"wsjcrypto","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"it-IT","@id":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86fe8af82ea089646d6639ca2f87e0243d8688d957bd8e3ec22ec3c457cc16d4?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/86fe8af82ea089646d6639ca2f87e0243d8688d957bd8e3ec22ec3c457cc16d4?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"wsjcrypto"},"url":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/author\/wsjcrypto\/"}]}},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8648","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8648"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8648\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8651,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8648\/revisions\/8651"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8648"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8648"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8648"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}