{"id":17744,"date":"2025-11-07T02:42:36","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T01:42:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=17744"},"modified":"2025-11-07T02:42:36","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T01:42:36","slug":"bitcoins-yearly-moving-average-faces-potential-breakdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/07\/bitcoins-yearly-moving-average-faces-potential-breakdown\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Bitcoin&#8217;s Yearly Moving Average Faces Potential Breakdown&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"ftwp-postcontent\">\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The cryptocurrency sector is presently experiencing notable bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) finding it challenging to regain previously essential support levels. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Recent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">statistics <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">from CoinGecko reveals that Bitcoin has dipped nearly 6% over the last week, a decline that has affected other major cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL), all of which have encountered double-digit losses during the same timeframe.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ftoc-heading-1\" class=\"ftwp-heading\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Galaxy Digital Adjusts Bitcoin Price Projection<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This decline contrasts sharply with the optimistic sentiment noted earlier in October, when Bitcoin soared to set its latest record high just above the $126,000 threshold, driven by a wave of margin purchases. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nevertheless, the excitement was fleeting, as approximately $20 billion in leveraged positions throughout the crypto sector were suddenly liquidated just days later on October 10, exacerbating the prevailing lack of confidence among investors.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Michael Novogratz\u2019s Galaxy Digital recently <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-11-06\/bitcoin-bears-see-more-peril-after-300-billion-crypto-selloff-btc?srnd=phx-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">modified <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">its year-end Bitcoin price projection down to $120,000, a considerable reduction from the earlier estimate of $185,000, attributing this modification to the \u201csignificant leverage wipeout.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"jeg_block_title\"><span>Related Reading<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Market analysis firm CryptoQuant has indicated that Bitcoin\u2019s fall below its 365-day moving average around $102,000 could indicate a deeper downturn. This moving average has historically functioned as a vital support level during this bull market, and its failure to maintain could lead to a more significant correction in Bitcoin\u2019s value. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In their assessment, CryptoQuant specialists detailed the criteria necessary for Bitcoin to alter its current path and potentially achieve new<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/bitcoin-price-falls-under-100000-elliott-wave-analysis-forecasts-decline-to-70000\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> all-time highs.<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> They noted that Bitcoin initiated a global risk-off trend, testing the vital $100,000 support level. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This decline was influenced by a stronger dollar and ongoing uncertainties regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) policy, which have dampened broader risk appetites across various asset classes. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Interestingly, there have been four consecutive sessions of around $1.3 billion in net outflows from US <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/behind-the-mexc-drama-is-bankruptcy-inevitable\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">spot BTC ETFs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, reversing what had been one of the most robust tailwinds for the market in 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This decreased demand in the spot market has coincided with enforced deleveraging, leading to over $1 billion in long liquidations at recent lows, which temporarily breached intraday support before dip buyers intervened. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ftoc-heading-2\" class=\"ftwp-heading\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Stabilization Of ETF Flows Essential<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/crypto\/caution-in-the-crypto-market-expert-warns-of-bearish-phase-unfolding-this-november\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">options market<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> has further escalated volatility, as dealers remain net short gamma around the $100,000 strike, resulting in heightened hedging activities near this crucial level. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The $100,000 threshold now serves as a psychological barrier, and any stabilization in ETF flows could alter market sentiment, provided no new macroeconomic shocks arise.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1814px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC\u2019s price downtrend on the daily chart. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/chart\/7W2R5XTA\/\" target=\"_blank\">BTCUSDT on TradingView.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">On the macroeconomic side, analysts <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-170\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">assert <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">that the present environment remains favorable, albeit overshadowed by the ongoing government shutdown in Washington. However, policy clarity is still elusive. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"jeg_block_title\"><span>Related Reading<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Federal Reserve\u2019s recent 25 basis point reduction in October, which included some dissenting viewpoints, was accompanied by a careful tone that pushed back against expectations for another reduction in December. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Markets are currently pricing in a 60-65% likelihood of a subsequent move, but as the Fed\u2019s blackout period persists, policymakers may become more inclined to pause, which would help sustain a strong dollar and tight <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-poised-for-a-bullish-november-key-catalysts-that-cant-be-ignored\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> credit conditions<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For Bitcoin to climb higher sustainably, CryptoQuant\u2019s analysis indicates that a reversal in exchange-traded fund outflows and renewed trust in risk assets will likely be essential.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/warning-signals-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html The cryptocurrency sector is presently experiencing notable bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) finding it challenging to regain previously essential support levels. Recent statistics from CoinGecko reveals that Bitcoin has dipped nearly 6% over the last week, a decline that has affected other major cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17745,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[4155],"class_list":{"0":"post-17744","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-bitcoin-365-day-moving-average-at-risk-of-collapse-gpt"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Bitcoin&#039;s Yearly Moving Average Faces Potential Breakdown&quot; - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/11\/07\/bitcoins-yearly-moving-average-faces-potential-breakdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;Bitcoin&#039;s Yearly Moving Average Faces Potential Breakdown&quot; - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html The cryptocurrency sector is presently experiencing notable bearish pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) finding it challenging to regain previously essential support levels. 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