{"id":16508,"date":"2025-09-29T18:53:35","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T16:53:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=16508"},"modified":"2025-09-29T18:53:35","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T16:53:35","slug":"btc-aims-for-115k-surge-despite-ongoing-cme-gap-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/29\/btc-aims-for-115k-surge-despite-ongoing-cme-gap-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;BTC Aims for $115K Surge Despite Ongoing CME Gap Concerns&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6=\"\">\n<p><strong>Essential insights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Bitcoin surged 4.5% in 48 hours, reclaiming $114,000.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>A reset in BTC\u2019s open interest suggests a healthier upside following extended de-leveraging.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>A CME gap around $111,300 poses a short-term threat to bullish momentum.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\">BTC<\/a>) price surged 4.5% in under 48 hours, testing $114,000 again on Monday. This recovery came after last week\u2019s significant correction from Monday to Saturday, where <a href=\"https:\/\/adlerscryptoinsights.substack.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/adlerscryptoinsights.substack.com\/\">data suggested<\/a> the pullback was less due to aggressive shorting and more related to long positions de-leveraging to establish a cleaner foundation for future upward movements.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin one-day chart. Source: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSDT\/\"><em>Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>From Sept. 21 to Sept. 27, Bitcoin fell from $115,600 to $109,500, marking a 5.3% decline alongside a 6.2% decrease in futures open interest (OI) down to $39.9 billion from $42.6 billion. The 30-day correlation between price and OI tightened to +0.46, indicating that longs were reducing exposure rather than shorts driving the move. Such resets typically eliminate excess leverage, setting the stage for healthier rallies.<\/p>\n<p>Spot market trends are also <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1972532254821032344\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1972532254821032344\">favorably shifting.<\/a> Buyers continued to dominate centralized exchanges, with net 30-day flows remaining negative at approximately 170,000 BTC, signifying that more coins are exiting exchanges than entering. This trend is frequently perceived as a signal of accumulation and diminishes sell-side pressure.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01999632-ee28-7bae-82c2-4134401286e0\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin 30-day net flow. Source: Axel Adler Jr.\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, crypto market analyst Dom <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/traderview2\/status\/1972307129445896650\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/traderview2\/status\/1972307129445896650\">highlighted<\/a> that the near-term target could exceed $115,000. The analyst remarked,<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThe liquidation divergence has unfolded quite effectively. Spot books remain thin up until ~$115K on Binance. Thin books = easier to move price. Still need the bulls to maintain their aggressiveness to achieve that.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Funding rates have settled into a neutral zone, mitigating the risk of cascading long squeezes and instead supporting a gradual reconstruction of leverage. However, there is a lack of alignment between the aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) and OI.<\/p>\n<p>Spot CVD has <a href=\"https:\/\/coinalyze.net\/bitcoin\/open-interest\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/coinalyze.net\/bitcoin\/open-interest\/\">remained largely<\/a> stable during Monday\u2019s rally, while OI is slowly increasing. Price movement could invite late spot bids should prices stabilize above $113,000, setting the groundwork for the highly anticipated \u201cUptober\u201d rally.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/0199962e-2c1b-71ff-a58d-8390d70e1bc1\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin price, aggregated open interest, spot CVD, and funding rate. Source: Coinalyze<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/300k-bitcoin-target-becoming-increasingly-likely-analyst\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/300k-bitcoin-target-becoming-increasingly-likely-analyst\"><em><strong>Related: $300K Bitcoin target \u2018growing more probable,\u2019 analyst states<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>CME gap threat persists around $111,300<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Despite Bitcoin\u2019s surge past $114,000, derivatives traders may be keeping an eye on a CME gap that remains unaddressed between $111,300 and $110,900. CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange close for the weekend and reopen at a different price point, leaving a notable void on charts. Historically, BTC has exhibited a strong inclination to revisit these levels, with every gap since June being completely closed.<\/p>\n<p>This indicates that a short-term retracement towards the $111,000 area cannot be discounted before the upward rally extends. The CME gap also overlaps with a fair value gap, and a decline to $111,000 would also sweep the internal liquidity block between $112,300 and $111,400.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/0199962a-863d-742e-aa68-b122174d7ada\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph\/TradingView<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Thus, a short-term decline near these points remains a possibility over the next few days. An immediate bullish invalidation would be a strong daily close above $115,000, potentially reducing the likelihood of a drop to $111,000.<\/p>\n<p>While historical patterns highlight that CME gap fills are not guaranteed, its recent 100% closure rate renders it a significant technical factor for traders assessing near-term risks within Bitcoin\u2019s broader optimistic Q4 outlook.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/btc-price-due-108k-ping-pong-5-things-bitcoin-this-week\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/btc-price-due-108k-ping-pong-5-things-bitcoin-this-week\"><em><strong>Related: BTC price set for $108K fluctuations: 5 key points to consider in Bitcoin this week<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" type=\"\">This article does not offer investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading action carries risks, and readers should engage in their own research when making decisions.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-gears-up-for-uptober-after-dollar114k-rally-revives-bulls?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html Essential insights: Bitcoin surged 4.5% in 48 hours, reclaiming $114,000. A reset in BTC\u2019s open interest suggests a healthier upside following extended de-leveraging. A CME gap around $111,300 poses a short-term threat to bullish momentum. Bitcoin (BTC) price surged 4.5% in under 48 hours, testing $114,000 again on Monday. This recovery came after last<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":16509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[3761],"class_list":["post-16508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-btc-eyes-115k-rally-but-cme-gap-risk-lingers-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;BTC Aims for $115K Surge Despite Ongoing CME Gap Concerns&quot; - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/29\/btc-aims-for-115k-surge-despite-ongoing-cme-gap-concerns\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;BTC Aims for $115K Surge Despite Ongoing CME Gap Concerns&quot; - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html Essential insights: Bitcoin surged 4.5% in 48 hours, reclaiming $114,000. A reset in BTC\u2019s open interest suggests a healthier upside following extended de-leveraging. A CME gap around $111,300 poses a short-term threat to bullish momentum. Bitcoin (BTC) price surged 4.5% in under 48 hours, testing $114,000 again on Monday. 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