{"id":16477,"date":"2025-09-28T18:49:57","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T16:49:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=16477"},"modified":"2025-09-28T18:49:57","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T16:49:57","slug":"will-xrp-bounce-back-in-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/28\/will-xrp-bounce-back-in-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Will XRP Bounce Back in October?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6=\"\">\n<p><strong>Main insights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>XRP remains above a vital threshold in September, enhancing optimism for a possible rebound in October.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Overcoming the $2.81 resistance is crucial, with technical indicators forecasting approximately a 30% surge to $3.62.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>XRP (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/xrp-price-index\" title=\"null\">XRP<\/a>) was trading at the monthly opening near $2.77 after a decline of 14% over the preceding two weeks. Maintaining this position ignites optimism for a potential recovery entering October.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>XRP\/USD daily graph. Cointelegraph\/<\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/TxDnqbmT\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\"><em>TradingView<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>XRP price needs to stay above $2.75<\/h2>\n<p>XRP encounters a significant challenge near the September 1 opening at approximately $2.75, as per analysts.<\/p>\n<p>This price point corresponds with the lower edge of a symmetrical triangle, as illustrated in the daily chart below. Holding above this trendline would enhance the likelihood of surpassing the downward trendline at $2.86 (the 100-day simple moving average (SMA)). Such a move could facilitate reaching the <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-aims-for-dollar3-amid-etf-approval-hopes\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-aims-for-dollar3-amid-etf-approval-hopes\">optimistic target of the triangle at $3.62<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01999086-1b6a-754f-a97c-ce4a8ab07497\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>XRP\/USD daily graph. Source: Cointelegraph\/<\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/pieqvsD3\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\"><em>TradingView<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The Glassnode distribution heatmap indicates a substantial concentration of demand between $2.75, where nearly 1.58 billion XRP were acquired, emphasizing the significance of this level.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01999089-32e9-7567-bdbc-bf54d093eb98\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>XRP cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Nonetheless, there exists a supply barrier near $2.81 (encompassing the 100-day SMA), which could hinder short-term recovery initiatives.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/is-xrp-price-going-to-crash-after-falling-below-3-again\" title=\"null\"><em><strong>Will XRP price crash after again dropping below $3?<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In contrast, a decline beneath $2.75 could instigate another <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/is-xrp-price-going-to-crash-after-falling-below-3-again\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/is-xrp-price-going-to-crash-after-falling-below-3-again\">sell-off towards $2.00<\/a>, marking the bearish target of the symmetrical triangle.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c$XRP is undergoing a strong bullish consolidation,\u201d <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Degen_Hardy\/status\/1972251925082263789\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">noted<\/a> analyst Hardy in an X post on Sunday, mentioning that as long as the price stays above the $2.72-$2.75 range, the \u201cpotential for growth remains viable.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another analyst, XForceGlobal, highlighted that the longer XRP stabilizes around $2.75, the more significant the breakout, adding that <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-distribution-phase-doesnt-change-20-dollar-price-target\" title=\"null\">$20-30 targets remain<\/a> achievable.<\/p>\n<p>As <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-faces-another-10percent-dip-when-will-bulls-step-in\" title=\"null\">Cointelegraph reported<\/a>, XRP might decline to $2.50 before a price recovery, based on Fibonacci extension analysis.<\/p>\n<h2>October generally is a poor month for XRP<\/h2>\n<p>Regrettably for the bulls, XRP usually encounters difficulties in October. Since 2013, the price has closed negatively in seven of the last twelve months, with average returns diminishing approximately \u22124.58%.<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, November typically emerges as the most favorable month, making the period from October to December the best quarter for XRP price surges. It stands as the sole three-month timeframe with average gains of 51%, according to data from Cryptorank.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01999086-36a2-7768-b61d-831eef145914\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>XRP monthly and quarterly returns. Source: Cryptorank<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Examining recent years, <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-price-surge-trump-win-sec-legal-battle\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/xrp-price-surge-trump-win-sec-legal-battle\">XRP increased approximately 240% in Q4\/2024<\/a> and 20% in Q4\/2023. The surge was even more dramatic in 2017, yielding gains of 1,064% between October 1 and December 1.<\/p>\n<p>Even during bear cycles, exemplified by 2018\u2019s -39.1% and 2022\u2019s -29.2% losses, these were anomalies. Regardless, the year&#8217;s final quarter consistently delivers substantial movements.<\/p>\n<p>If past trends are any indication, XRP\u2019s price action could completely reverse in Q4\/2025, with that recovery possibly beginning by mid-October.<\/p>\n<h2>XRP ETFs could ignite \u201cUptober\u201d<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/xrp-as-wall-streets-dark-horse-why-some-funds-see-it-like-bitcoin\" rel=\"target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/explained\/xrp-as-wall-streets-dark-horse-why-some-funds-see-it-like-bitcoin\">October\u2019s ETF<\/a> spotlight may provide additional momentum for XRP\u2019s rally, as SEC deadlines approach mid-month.<\/p>\n<p>Franklin Templeton\u2019s <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/sec-delays-blackrock-franklin-templeton-crypto-etf-decisions\" title=\"null\">XRP ETF decision<\/a> has been postponed to November 14, while REX\/Osprey\u2019s XRPR <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/rex-osprey-xrp-doge-etfs-54m-volume-debut\" rel=\"target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/rex-osprey-xrp-doge-etfs-54m-volume-debut\">debuted on September 18 with nearly $38 million<\/a> in volume on its first day.<\/p>\n<p>Grayscale&#8217;s verdict is anticipated on October 18, with crucial deadlines for additional applications falling between October 19 and October 25.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-09\/01990ec7-b409-78b2-b8b0-b1f234794f1c\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Upcoming XRP ETF decision dates. Source: Cointelegraph<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/sec-approves-generic-etf-listing-standards-clearing-path-for-digital-asset-listings-without-individual-approval\" rel=\"target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/sec-approves-generic-etf-listing-standards-clearing-path-for-digital-asset-listings-without-individual-approval\">Streamlined SEC criteria<\/a> and post-Ripple lawsuit clarity have <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/ripple-etf-approved-in-2025\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">boosted approval chances to 100%<\/a> by December 31, <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/solana-xrp-etfs-billion-dollar-investment-jpmorgan\" title=\"null\">unlocking a possible $4\u2013$8 billion in first-year inflows<\/a>, according to analysts.<\/p>\n<p>However, market participants have also warned that this likely event may be partially priced in already, increasing the risk that approvals result in a \u201csell the news\u201d scenario.<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" type=\"\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision carries risks, and readers should conduct their own investigations when making a decision.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/will-xrp-price-rally-restart-in-october?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html Main insights: XRP remains above a vital threshold in September, enhancing optimism for a possible rebound in October. Overcoming the $2.81 resistance is crucial, with technical indicators forecasting approximately a 30% surge to $3.62. XRP (XRP) was trading at the monthly opening near $2.77 after a decline of 14% over the preceding two weeks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":16478,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[3752],"class_list":["post-16477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-is-xrp-price-going-to-recover-in-october-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will XRP Bounce Back in October? - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/28\/will-xrp-bounce-back-in-october\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will XRP Bounce Back in October? - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html Main insights: XRP remains above a vital threshold in September, enhancing optimism for a possible rebound in October. 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