{"id":14990,"date":"2025-08-13T15:31:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T13:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=14990"},"modified":"2025-08-13T15:31:09","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T13:31:09","slug":"surge-in-institutional-interest-foreshadows-rising-btc-prices","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/13\/surge-in-institutional-interest-foreshadows-rising-btc-prices\/","title":{"rendered":"Surge in Institutional Interest Foreshadows Rising BTC Prices"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6=\"\">\n<p><strong>Essential highlights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>Coinbase\u2019s institutional Bitcoin trading volume reaches 75%, a trend historically correlated with a BTC price increase in the following week.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Institutions are acquiring significantly more Bitcoin than the daily mining output. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">Risk assets are discovering fresh motivations to rally again as the outlook on US economic policies improves.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" title=\"null\">BTC<\/a>) is expected to experience new gains within a week as institutions amplify BTC purchases, new analysis suggests.<\/p>\n<p>In an <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/caprioleio\/status\/1955539088599376045\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">X post<\/a> on Wednesday, Charles Edwards, the founder of the quantitative digital asset fund Capriole Investments, highlighted significant outflows from the US exchange Coinbase.<\/p>\n<h2>Assessment: Institutions likely to trigger new BTC price increases<\/h2>\n<p>Once again, Bitcoin is appealing to institutional investors as US inflation declines and markets anticipate lower interest rates in the upcoming month.<\/p>\n<p>Capriole&#8217;s data indicated that on Tuesday, 75% of Coinbase\u2019s trading volume stemmed from institutional investors.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAny readings surpassing 75% have historically led to price increases one week later,\u201d he remarked.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD chart showing Coinbase\u2019s institutional volume share. Source: Charles Edwards\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Capriole estimates an institutional \u201cexcess demand\u201d this week to be 600% of the approximate 450 BTC mined each day.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-08\/0198a31b-d020-7d2f-a786-046fcedc84be\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD chart illustrating institutional demand versus new BTC supply. Source: Capriole Investments<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Bitcoin corporate treasuries alone incorporated 810 BTC into their reserves on Tuesday, with Monday&#8217;s count even higher at nearly 3,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-08\/0198a31c-9c4b-7fbb-99df-215e3a6097e4\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD one-day chart displaying treasury acquisitions and disposals. Source: Capriole Investments<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Bitcoin thrives on Fed rate-cut expectations<\/h2>\n<p>The actions coincided with <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-traders-target-137k-as-us-cpi-print-raises-fed-rate-cut-odds-to-94\" title=\"null\">lower-than-predicted<\/a> US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for July and a <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/btc-to-fill-117k-cme-gap-5-things-bitcoin-this-week\" title=\"null\">BTC price surge<\/a> toward historical peaks.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/ether-hits-new-multiyear-high-as-tom-lee-s-bitmine-plans-20b-eth-raise\" rel=\"Ethereum hits new multiyear high as Tom Lee\u2019s BitMine plans $20B ETH raise\" target=\"Ethereum hits new multiyear high as Tom Lee\u2019s BitMine plans $20B ETH raise\" title=\"Ethereum hits new multiyear high as Tom Lee\u2019s BitMine plans $20B ETH raise\"><em><strong>Ethereum hits new multiyear high as Tom Lee\u2019s BitMine plans $20B ETH raise<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>When inquired about why institutions \u201cwent wild,\u201d Edwards specifically attributed it to the forecast for interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs inflation yesterday aligned with expectations, it indicates the Fed will likely cut rates next month, and possibly three times this year,\u201d he <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/caprioleio\/status\/1955545262426034616\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">wrote<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThe market is now evaluating the likelihood of a substantial 0.5% cut, given the weak job situation. Lower rates = higher risk assets, and historically, Bitcoin has been the quickest performer.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-08\/0198a31e-65c0-70ae-9dbd-2eb7ac288193\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Fed target rate probabilities for the September FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The latest insights from CME Group\u2019s <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">FedWatch Tool<\/a> indicate that markets largely expect a 0.25% reduction in September.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMarket-implied cuts for 2025 remained unchanged after the announcement, with pricing still indicating about 60bps of rate reductions,\u201d trading entity QCP Capital noted regarding CPI reactions in their latest <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.qcpgroup.com\/insights\/asia-colour-147\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">Asia Color<\/a> market updates.<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThe terminal rate has maintained its stability, even amidst a softer job market and expectations of a more dovish Fed Chair in 2026. Futures positioning suggests investors consider 3% as the Fed\u2019s lower limit in 2026.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">QCP anticipated next week\u2019s Jackson Hole symposium for additional insights regarding the Fed\u2019s future actions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" type=\"\">This article doesn\u2019t comprise investment advice or suggestions. Each investment and trading decision carries risk, and readers ought to engage in their own research when making choices.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-institutional-volume-hits-75-on-coinbase-new-btc-price-signal?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Essential highlights: Coinbase\u2019s institutional Bitcoin trading volume reaches 75%, a trend historically correlated with a BTC price increase in the following week. Institutions are acquiring significantly more Bitcoin than the daily mining output. Risk assets are discovering fresh motivations to rally again as the outlook on US economic policies improves. Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":14991,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[3294],"class_list":["post-14990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-bitcoin-institutional-demand-points-to-higher-btc-prices-next-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Surge in Institutional Interest Foreshadows Rising BTC Prices - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/13\/surge-in-institutional-interest-foreshadows-rising-btc-prices\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Surge in Institutional Interest Foreshadows Rising BTC Prices - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Essential highlights: Coinbase\u2019s institutional Bitcoin trading volume reaches 75%, a trend historically correlated with a BTC price increase in the following week. 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