{"id":14749,"date":"2025-08-05T20:53:39","date_gmt":"2025-08-05T18:53:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=14749"},"modified":"2025-08-05T20:53:39","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T18:53:39","slug":"bitcoins-november-peak-predictions-a-market-specialists-insights-on-retail-cycles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/05\/bitcoins-november-peak-predictions-a-market-specialists-insights-on-retail-cycles\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s November Peak Predictions: A Market Specialist&#8217;s Insights on Retail Cycles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"ftwp-postcontent\">\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The discussion surrounding <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-cycle-tops-identified\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin\u2019s peak for this cycle <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">has been a significant subject as market players anticipate possible highs later this year. While some analysts have predicted a dramatic top in October or November, Quinten Francois, a well-regarded crypto market analyst, firmly disagrees. Relying on historical trends and market psychology, Francois posits that the current bull market is far from finished and that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-still-not-overheated-says-top-metrics-is-150k-close\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">anticipations for a Q4 2025<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> peak are \u201csimply not going to occur.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ftoc-heading-1\" class=\"ftwp-heading\">November Is Too Early For A Bitcoin Peak<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">On the social media platform X, Bitcoin commentator Quinten<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/QuintenFrancois\/status\/1951596824227094854\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> asserted that any<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> expectations for a complete market peak by November entirely ignore how past cycles have progressed. He highlighted that in both 2017 and 2021, the altseason\u2014the time when altcoins outperform Bitcoin\u2014began in the first quarter of those respective bull market years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"jeg_block_title\"><span>Related Reading<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Following that, the retail-driven psychological cycle took approximately 9 to 12 months to culminate. This time around, the analyst indicates that altseason has not yet genuinely commenced. The ETH\/BTC ratio, often regarded as the parameter for altseason momentum, is just beginning to revert.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In light of this timeline, Quinten remarked that a cycle peak occurring within the next two to three months is nearly unfeasible. The moment altseason starts signals the onset of widespread retail involvement, and typically, from that moment, it takes 9 to 12 months for euphoria and market excess to reach their peak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">If historical trends hold true, the current psychological cycle is still in its nascent stages since the retail cycle hasn\u2019t truly initiated yet. This would project a market peak into the second or third quarter of 2026 at the earliest.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ftoc-heading-2\" class=\"ftwp-heading\">Altcoin Cycle Will Influence If Peak Is Feasible<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The sole condition that could permit a significant top this year, Quinten conceded, would be a lack of an altcoin cycle entirely. That situation, or a catastrophic black swan event, could disrupt the retail cycle and cause an earlier-than-usual peak. Nonetheless, the likelihood of this scenario is very minimal, and this psychological cycle simply cannot unfold much faster than 9 to 12 months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><h2 class=\"jeg_block_title\"><span>Related Reading<\/span><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Thus, Bitcoin\u2019s price trajectory is most likely to follow the established patterns. \u201cIf events unfold as they have historically (we can only rely on this), then it\u2019s just not going to occur,\u201d he stated.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Although the analyst did not specify a price target for the anticipated Bitcoin top for this cycle, other technical analysts have suggested <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-not-stopping-at-123000\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">targets ranging from $140,000<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> to $200,000. In <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/QuintenFrancois\/status\/1952248438961078282\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">another post on <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">the social media platform, Quinten observed that Bitcoin is currently experiencing its most substantial bullish setup in history. This outlook is<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-demand-holds-strong-despite-price-drop-accumulation-trend-remains-intact\/\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> based on a current retest of <\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">an ascending trendline of all-time highs, which Bitcoin surpassed in July.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_799196\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-799196\" style=\"width: 512px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-799196\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/QuintenFrancois\/status\/1952248438961078282\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Quinten on X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $114,460, having decreased by about 3.7% over the last week.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 2108px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/oo5k6Pyg\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2108\" height=\"1552\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC trading at $114,979 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/oo5k6Pyg\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tradingview.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-top-in-november\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html The discussion surrounding Bitcoin\u2019s peak for this cycle has been a significant subject as market players anticipate possible highs later this year. While some analysts have predicted a dramatic top in October or November, Quinten Francois, a well-regarded crypto market analyst, firmly disagrees. Relying on historical trends and market psychology, Francois posits that the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":14750,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[3219],"class_list":["post-14749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-market-expert-debunks-possible-bitcoin-top-in-november-using-9-12-months-retail-cycle-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin&#039;s November Peak Predictions: A Market Specialist&#039;s Insights on Retail Cycles - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/05\/bitcoins-november-peak-predictions-a-market-specialists-insights-on-retail-cycles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin&#039;s November Peak Predictions: A Market Specialist&#039;s Insights on Retail Cycles - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html The discussion surrounding Bitcoin\u2019s peak for this cycle has been a significant subject as market players anticipate possible highs later this year. 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