{"id":14314,"date":"2025-07-23T13:46:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T11:46:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=14314"},"modified":"2025-07-23T13:46:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T11:46:10","slug":"bitcoin-stuck-under-120k-but-experts-believe-the-rally-is-far-from-finished","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/23\/bitcoin-stuck-under-120k-but-experts-believe-the-rally-is-far-from-finished\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Stuck Under $120K, But Experts Believe the Rally Is Far From Finished"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-43e640e6=\"\">\n<p><strong>Essential insights:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" target=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\">BTC<\/a>) is still positioned below $120,000 after achieving a new all-time high close to $123,000 last week. As BTC price stabilizes, many market experts are confident that <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-speculators-hint-at-local-bottom-buyers-target-117-5k\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-speculators-hint-at-local-bottom-buyers-target-117-5k\">the cycle is not yet concluded<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the factors that lead analysts to believe that the <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-not-at-peak-yet-watch-these-btc-price-levels\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-not-at-peak-yet-watch-these-btc-price-levels\">Bitcoin bull market has not reached its peak<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin fundamentals remain robust<\/h2>\n<p>Analytics company Bitcoin Vector <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507693180379258\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507693180379258\">stated<\/a> that while Bitcoin\u2019s momentum has diminished, several on-chain indicators imply that Bitcoin\u2019s cycle is not finished.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMomentum has decreased, but structure and fundamentals are still firm,\u201d the firm <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507693180379258\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507693180379258\">commented<\/a> in a Tuesday update on X, stating:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThis isn\u2019t a peak. It\u2019s a coiled setup with support beneath it.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/new-bitcoin-analysis-says-most-explosive-phase-140k-close\" title=\"null\"><em><strong>New Bitcoin analysis notes \u2018most explosive phase\u2019 approaching $140K<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Bitcoin Fundamental Index (BFI) remains robust, indicating increasing network growth and liquidity, as illustrated in the chart below.<\/p>\n<p>With BTC price under strain, \u201cfundamentals are on hold, not declining,\u201d Bitcoin Vector explained, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIt\u2019s the price that requires alignment.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin fundamentals (Network growth and liquidity). Source: Bitcoin Vector<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In the near term, buyers might simply be awaiting confirmation of the breakout, as Bitcoin serves as the \u201cstructural anchor\u201d for the entire crypto market, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/swissblock__\/status\/1947763159634481446\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/swissblock__\/status\/1947763159634481446\">noted<\/a> private wealth manager Swissblock.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin is maintaining structure.<\/p>\n<p>\u2192 Risk is contained. Fundamentals are supportive.<br \/>\u2192 But momentum is gentle. Bulls are cautious.<br \/>\u2192 Rotation is dynamic. BTC remains the foundational layer.<br \/>\u2192 Alts carry the upward potential.<\/p>\n<p>This isn\u2019t a peak \u2014 it\u2019s a transition.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Swissblock (@swissblock__) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/swissblock__\/status\/1947763162876678158?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 22, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, BTC price is \u201cmaintaining a bullish structure\u201d even as it has been consolidating within a narrow range between $116,500 and $120,000 since July 15. Bitcoin Vector <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507695948275814\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/bitcoinvector\/status\/1947507695948275814\">added<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cNo breakdown. No breakout. Just waiting for ignition. Once momentum aligns, the breakout continues.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/019836d0-4aee-710f-9870-1b090a9f7a54\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin structure changes and price momentum. Source: Bitcoin Vector<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>On-chain metrics suggest \u201cspace for growth\u201c<\/h2>\n<p>Analyzing Bitcoin\u2019s short-term holder (STH) cost basis, Swissblock <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/swissblock__\/status\/1947763156123849049\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">mentioned<\/a> that STHs are still engaged and not depleted.<\/p>\n<p>STH cost basis refers to the average purchase price of traders who have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days.<\/p>\n<p>The price reached the \u201cheated\u201d range of this metric on July 14, when it attained its <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-shows-no-signs-of-fatigue-overtakes-gold-2025#:~:text=Bitcoin%20hit%20new%20all%2Dtime,27%25%20gains%20year%20to%20date.&amp;text=Key%20takeaways%3A,parallel%20channel%20targets%20%24125%2C000%20next.\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-shows-no-signs-of-fatigue-overtakes-gold-2025#:~:text=Bitcoin%20hit%20new%20all%2Dtime,27%25%20gains%20year%20to%20date.&amp;text=Key%20takeaways%3A,parallel%20channel%20targets%20%24125%2C000%20next.\">current all-time high<\/a>, but did not enter the overheated area.<\/p>\n<p data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\">If it rises to test the upper boundary \u2014 aligning with two standard deviations above the STH realized price \u2014 it could <a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-liquidity-wars-carry-on-but-btc-price-target-remains-dollar140k\" rel=\"\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-liquidity-wars-carry-on-but-btc-price-target-remains-dollar140k\">achieve new all-time highs at $138,000<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProfit-taking is visible, but the STH risk zone at $138K hasn\u2019t been reached,\u201d Swissblock noted, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cThis indicates there&#8217;s still capacity for growth before we observe any panic selling or excessive enthusiasm.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/019836d0-4fc7-71ef-96ca-3203778a252f\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bitcoin short-term cost basis bands. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>30 Bitcoin price peak indicators recommend \u201chold 100%\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin may be consolidating beneath the all-time highs, but CoinGlass\u2019 bull market peak indicators also demonstrate no signs of overheating.<\/p>\n<p>The bull peak indicators refer to a selection of 30 potential selling signals and aim to identify long-term BTC price peaks. Currently, none of the indicators are signaling a peak.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c0 out of 30 peak signals have triggered on CoinGlass\u2019s Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Dashboard,\u201d popular analyst CryptosRus <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptosR_Us\/status\/1947147323802325356\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">posted<\/a> in an X update on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>CryptosRus specifically emphasized four long-term indicators \u2014 Pi Cycle Top, Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), relative strength index (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/here-s-3-ways-the-relative-strength-index-rsi-can-be-used-as-a-sell-signal\" title=\"null\">RSI<\/a>) and Reserve Risk\u2014 to illustrate that the Bitcoin bull market has ample potential to advance further.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHistorically, the more indicators this list validates, the closer we approach a blow-off peak. For now? Green lights.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to CoinGlass, Bitcoin is presently classified as a \u201chold 100%\u201d asset based on signals from the top 30 indicators.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-07\/019836d0-5494-769b-b8b6-8ea2206628f0\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Bull market peak indicators. Source: CoinGlass<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\" type=\"\">This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision carries risks, and readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"\/><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/this-isnt-a-top-why-bitcoin-analysts-btc-will-break-123k?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html Essential insights: Bitcoin (BTC) is still positioned below $120,000 after achieving a new all-time high close to $123,000 last week. As BTC price stabilizes, many market experts are confident that the cycle is not yet concluded. Here are the factors that lead analysts to believe that the Bitcoin bull market has not reached its<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":14315,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[3088],"class_list":["post-14314","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-bitcoin-price-pinned-below-120k-but-analysts-say-btc-upside-is-not-over-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Stuck Under $120K, But Experts Believe the Rally Is Far From Finished - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/23\/bitcoin-stuck-under-120k-but-experts-believe-the-rally-is-far-from-finished\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Stuck Under $120K, But Experts Believe the Rally Is Far From Finished - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html Essential insights: Bitcoin (BTC) is still positioned below $120,000 after achieving a new all-time high close to $123,000 last week. 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