{"id":11635,"date":"2025-05-01T13:09:07","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T11:09:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=11635"},"modified":"2025-05-01T13:09:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T11:09:07","slug":"bitcoin-poised-for-a-surge-as-fed-rate-cut-probabilities-soar-to-60","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/01\/bitcoin-poised-for-a-surge-as-fed-rate-cut-probabilities-soar-to-60\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Bitcoin Poised for a Surge as Fed Rate Cut Probabilities Soar to 60%&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> &#8220;`html<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-v-60373258=\"\">\n<p><strong>Main points:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<p>Bitcoin maintains $95,000 as Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities rise to 60% for June 18 amid a downturn in the US economy.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Surpassing $95,000 could drive BTC prices toward $100,000, while falling beneath $93,000 might reintroduce the $84,000 level.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Important Bitcoin thresholds to monitor remain near the long-term holders\u2019 cost basis.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bitcoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">BTC<\/a>) is once again striving to exceed $95,000 on May 1 as markets speculate that the US Federal Reserve might implement a rate cut sooner than anticipated.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph\/<\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/V4oNhVHK\/\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\"><em>TradingView<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Fed rate cut will elevate BTC prices<\/h2>\n<p>Insights from <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/subscription.cointelegraph.com\/?_gl=1*enpnlb*_ga*MTE3NDE3MjgzMC4xNzE1NjcwODE1*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTc0NDcyNDI2NS40MS4xLjE3NDQ3MjQyNjkuNTYuMC45MTY3MzAwMzI.\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">Cointelegraph Markets Pro<\/a> and <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/BTCUSD\/?exchange=BITSTAMP\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">TradingView<\/a> indicated that Bitcoin inched upward hours after declining below $93,000 in response to US GDP data that <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-drops-under-93-k-after-us-gdp-data-shows-shrinking-economy-raising-recession-alarm\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">signaled a contracting economy<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-gains-macro-data-makes-us-recession-2025-base-case\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">declining economy<\/a> is likely to encourage the Fed to reduce rates to stimulate economic activity sooner rather than later. This diminishes yields on conventional assets such as bonds, guiding investors towards Bitcoin and higher-risk assets.<\/p>\n<p>The chances of a Fed interest rate reduction during the June 18 FOMC gathering have escalated over the past week, from 57% on April 30 to 60% on May 1.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-05\/01968b5d-9154-70ad-ba7f-b770320e08bb\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Fed target rate probabilities for the June 18 Fed meeting. Source: <\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\"><em>CME FedWatch<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Expectations for a rate cut have historically acted as a bullish stimulus for risk-on assets and Bitcoin. For instance, Bitcoin surged over 20% ahead of the previous Fed rate cut on December 18, 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin rebounds towards $95K, recovering from pessimistic US GDP figures,\u201d <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BTCmoonmath\/status\/1917735725941850306\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">stated<\/a> anonymous Bitcoin analyst BTCmoonmath in a May 1 post on X, further adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cTraders foresee future easing and rate reductions from the Federal Reserve, despite an economic contraction and weak consumer confidence.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The attention now turns to how the May 2 employment report, which reveals the number of jobs added to the US economy in April, will influence the crypto market and subsequently, Bitcoin prices.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related: <\/strong><\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-aging-chart-projects-sixfold-btc-price-rally-above-350-k\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\"><em><strong>Bitcoin \u2018aging\u2019 chart forecasts sixfold BTC price increase above $350K<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>What lies ahead for Bitcoin prices?<\/h2>\n<p>At present, $95,000 serves as a crucial threshold for traders, with many analysts suggesting that a sustained breach through the resistance area beyond this point paves the way for a rapid upward movement.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe price has recently surpassed both key technical indicators and is currently making an effort to stabilize within this area,\u201d Glassnode indicated in its latest Week Onchain report.<\/p>\n<p>The market intelligence firm mentioned the 111-day simple moving average (SMA) at $91,300 and the short-term holder (STH) cost basis at $93,200. Bitcoin has reclaimed these levels during the recent upward trajectory, indicating significant strength behind the movement.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThese are levels that need to be breached and maintained for further price advancement, as a rejection at these thresholds would push the price back into bearish territory, placing several investors into a situation of substantial unrealized loss.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-05\/01968b5d-95d1-7496-901d-f3f8b992e8f9\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD chart demonstrating STH cost basis and 111-day SMA. Source: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin is poised to surge past $96,000,\u201d noted prominent analyst AlphaBTC <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mark_cullen\/status\/1917790711422017802\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">mentioned<\/a> in his latest analysis on X.<\/p>\n<p>According to the analyst, a decisive breach above $95,000 might see BTC emerge from consolidation, with the next logical move being towards the $100,000 psychological level.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThis is the movement I would like to witness if Bitcoin can maintain momentum today. A robust push into the low 100Ks.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-05\/01968b5d-9b01-7d9e-9fda-f41a0330b731\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD four-hour chart. Source: <\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/mark_cullen\/status\/1917790711422017802\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\"><em>AlphaBTC<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>In contrast, the analyst noted that a decline beneath the April 30 lows at $93,000 might lead BTC\/USD to sink further towards the $84,000 and $88,000 range as illustrated in the preceding chart.<\/p>\n<p>Another crypto analyst, Daan Crypto Trades, remarked that if prices consolidate without rejection and continues to ascend, then this could set BTC up for a movement higher towards the $100K vicinity, as he <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DaanCrypto\/status\/1917860387359171024\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\">discussed<\/a> with his followers on X.<\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.cointelegraph.com\/uploads\/2025-05\/01968b5d-9f0f-7a35-97a3-643f6311357a\" title=\"\"\/><figcaption style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>BTC\/USD hourly chart. Source: <\/em><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DaanCrypto\/status\/1917860387359171024\" rel=\"null\" target=\"null\" text=\"null\" title=\"null\"><em>Daan Crypto Trades<\/em><\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"post-content__disclaimer\" type=\"\">This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and trading decision involves risk, and readers should perform their own research prior to making a choice.<\/p>\n<p><template data-name=\"subscription_form\" data-type=\"markets_outlook\" label=\"Subscription Form: Markets Outlook\"\/>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-blast-higher-fed-rate-cut-odds-60?utm_source=rss_feed&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=rss_partner_inbound\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n&#8220;`<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;`html Main points: Bitcoin maintains $95,000 as Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities rise to 60% for June 18 amid a downturn in the US economy. Surpassing $95,000 could drive BTC prices toward $100,000, while falling beneath $93,000 might reintroduce the $84,000 level. Important Bitcoin thresholds to monitor remain near the long-term holders\u2019 cost basis. Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":11636,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[2295],"class_list":["post-11635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-bitcoin-price-about-to-blast-higher-as-fed-rate-cut-odds-jump-to-60-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;Bitcoin Poised for a Surge as Fed Rate Cut Probabilities Soar to 60%&quot; - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/01\/bitcoin-poised-for-a-surge-as-fed-rate-cut-probabilities-soar-to-60\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"&quot;Bitcoin Poised for a Surge as Fed Rate Cut Probabilities Soar to 60%&quot; - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;`html Main points: Bitcoin maintains $95,000 as Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities rise to 60% for June 18 amid a downturn in the US economy. 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