{"id":10325,"date":"2025-03-27T21:30:59","date_gmt":"2025-03-27T20:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/?p=10325"},"modified":"2025-03-27T21:30:59","modified_gmt":"2025-03-27T20:30:59","slug":"bitcoins-price-plunge-insights-from-a-technical-analyst-on-why-optimism-for-btc-and-crypto-has-waned","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/27\/bitcoins-price-plunge-insights-from-a-technical-analyst-on-why-optimism-for-btc-and-crypto-has-waned\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin&#8217;s Price Plunge: Insights from a Technical Analyst on Why Optimism for BTC and Crypto Has Waned"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"trusted-editorial-content trusted-editorial-content--top\">\n<div class=\"trusted-editorial-content__text\"><u>Trusted Editorial<\/u> material, evaluated by prominent industry professionals and experienced editors. <a href=\"#\" target=\"_blank\">Ad Disclosure<\/a><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Technical analyst Tony Severino has disclosed why he is no longer optimistic about BTC and other digital currencies following the recent <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-could-hit-112000-but-only-if-it-holds-above-this-key-level-analyst-explains\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin value<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> decline. The analyst previously suggested the potential for the leading cryptocurrency to plummet to as low as $22,000.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Expert Explains His Shift from Optimism in Light of Bitcoin Price Decline<\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In an <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/tonythebullBTC\/status\/1904950499951997350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">X post<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, Severino referred to market cycles and the Elliott Wave Theory to clarify his change in perspective regarding BTC and other digital assets. In his related chart, he noted that the Bitcoin value achieved a 100% increase in both Wave 1 and Wave 5 during <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-bull-run-not-over-yet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">this bullish trend<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which commenced around November 2022.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The analyst stated that this indicates the peak is reached, as Wave 1 and Wave 5 usually show comparable price increases. Nevertheless, he mentioned that there&#8217;s still a chance for the Bitcoin value to rise further, as it might see a gain similar to what was recorded in Wave 3 after the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/us-bitcoin-etfs-end-outflow-streak-with-744-million\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin ETFs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> were introduced last year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_432217\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-432217\" style=\"width: 512px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-432217\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Bitcoin-chart-from-Tony-Severino.png?w=512&amp;resize=512%2C302\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"512\" height=\"302\"\/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-432217\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/tonythebullBTC\/status\/1904950499951997350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Tony Severino on X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to the Elliott Wave Theory, a minimum of two Waves must demonstrate similar price increases, suggesting that Wave 5 could mirror Wave 3\u2019s performance. However, Severino seems to be betting against this outcome as he pointed out the excitement surrounding <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/dogecoin-trump-inauguration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Donald Trump\u2019s inauguration<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> as an additional reason he believes the peak has likely occurred and explains his lack of optimism regarding the Bitcoin value. He commented that the excitement phase typically occurs just prior to the cycle peak.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The technical analyst acknowledged that the enthusiasm around Trump\u2019s inauguration didn\u2019t meet his expectations. Nevertheless, he went on to emphasize a trend associated with <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/the-cyclicality-of-bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the cyclical peaks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, which serves as another rationale for his diminished enthusiasm regarding BTC and other cryptocurrencies. Severino noted that Wave 1 and Wave 3 both peaked precisely at the cyclical peak. Hence, he stated that it\u2019s reasonable to assume that Wave 5 will also peak at the cyclical crest.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Additional Indicators Suggesting BTC Has Reached Its Peak<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tony Severino also referenced other chart patterns and signals, indicating that the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-bullish-trigger-point\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin value<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> has peaked and elaborated on why he is no longer optimistic about BTC. He pointed out a curved trendline in a different chart, showing that the leading cryptocurrency has reached the maximum financial opportunity point in this market cycle.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The technical analyst continued to highlight indicators like the Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse), which suggests that the Bitcoin value&#8217;s parabolic phase in this cycle has ceased and a reversal may be approaching. Another indicator he referred to is the Average Directional Index (ADX), which Severino stated demonstrates that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-rising-wedge-pattern\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BTC\u2019s upward trend<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> strength is faltering.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He affirmed that the upward momentum for the Bitcoin value is subsiding, and it appears unlikely to recover in the near future. The analyst pointed out the Logarithmic MACD as another indicator reinforcing the notion that momentum for the leading cryptocurrency in this market cycle is diminishing.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 2301px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/4PITHo9E\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2301\" height=\"1546\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC trading at $87,464 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/4PITHo9E\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Tradingview.com<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com<\/p>\n<div class=\"trusted-editorial-content trusted-editorial-content--bottom\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/safe.png\" class=\"trusted-editorial-content__icon\"\/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Editorial Process<\/strong> for bitcoinist focuses on delivering thoroughly vetted, accurate, and impartial content. We adhere to rigorous sourcing standards, and each page is diligently reviewed by our team of leading technology professionals and experienced editors. This process guarantees the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our audience.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-price-drawdown\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trusted Editorial material, evaluated by prominent industry professionals and experienced editors. Ad Disclosure Technical analyst Tony Severino has disclosed why he is no longer optimistic about BTC and other digital currencies following the recent Bitcoin value decline. The analyst previously suggested the potential for the leading cryptocurrency to plummet to as low as $22,000.\u00a0 Expert<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10326,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[1878],"class_list":["post-10325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin","tag-gptreturn-a-list-of-comma-separated-tags-from-this-title-bitcoin-price-drawdown-technical-expert-gives-reasons-on-why-he-is-no-longer-bullish-on-btc-and-crypto-gpt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin&#039;s Price Plunge: Insights from a Technical Analyst on Why Optimism for BTC and Crypto Has Waned - WSJ-Crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wsj-crypto.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/27\/bitcoins-price-plunge-insights-from-a-technical-analyst-on-why-optimism-for-btc-and-crypto-has-waned\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin&#039;s Price Plunge: Insights from a Technical Analyst on Why Optimism for BTC and Crypto Has Waned - WSJ-Crypto\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Trusted Editorial material, evaluated by prominent industry professionals and experienced editors. 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